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-   -   Humans are intelligent? (https://forum.lugerforum.com/showthread.php?t=7499)

wterrell 03-31-2003 08:54 PM

Humans are intelligent?
 
I am going to ask this question one more time: Why in the world would anyone bid on an item up for auction on the internet long before the end of the session?
If they win the item, they PAY for it through the nose because they pay a premium above what the item is worth. That, gentlemen, is not too shiny!

Stu 03-31-2003 09:01 PM

I'd have to agree with your comment Wes. Very occasionly I'll put the first bid on $1 above the start price so it shows up on the 'items you bid on' list, jsut to make it easy to find. Anyone making a serious bid before the last 10 minutes is taking a risk as far as I'm concerned !

Having said that I did this myself last night on a pair of P38 grips; the auction ended around midnight, so I put in my max bid at around 9 and ended up winning at $2 more than the price when I started, but I was asking to be taken for a ride. :)

wterrell 03-31-2003 09:06 PM

Stu,
On another discussion board I posted the following (which is quoted below) with the above plus the URL to the auction which had caused my inquiry:

</font><blockquote><font size="1" face="Verdana,Tahoma,Arial,Helvetica,Geneva">quote:</font><hr /><font size="2" face="Verdana,Tahoma,Arial,Helvetica,Geneva"> So, gentlemen, shall we play a game of psychology? I believe that I can run a man's bid up to the max by guesswork. There are three hours left on an item on Ebay at the time of this post. If anyone will post in reply to go for it, I will run up his bid and leave him winning with a higher cost.

Any takers? Anyone want to slam me for the effort?
</font><hr /></blockquote><font size="2" face="Verdana,Tahoma,Arial,Helvetica,Geneva">


Haven't had a reply yet.

Stu 03-31-2003 09:55 PM

I've certainly seen people get gripped by the fever and pay far more that I'd consider reasonable for an item by bidding early.

Another aspect is people who time their auction to end during the night or working day; it intrigues me as to the effect this has. Are they hoping people will enter a high bid early, in an effort to win in their 'absence' at the end of the auction, or are people put off bidding at all by not being able to place bids during the closing moments ? The latter is certainly true of myself.

The topic may warrant further investigation.

wterrell 03-31-2003 10:02 PM

Stu,
You may have put too much thought into the subject and your assumptions deserve more study. However, I have a simpler answer: people are idiots.

The picture below shows why this magazine is worth about $25. Notice the chip and the dent.

http://boards.rennlist.com/lfupload/MVC-085F.JPG

Navy 03-31-2003 10:41 PM

Gents and especially Wes,

While I agree completely that a substantial part of the human race is a total waste of DNA, there is at least one very good reason for maxing out an auction bid early: You know what you wish to pay for an item.

This saves loads of time and angst by avoiding the "Damn, I gotta check on my bids" scenario.

I see something I like, figure what is the max I will pay and that is my opening (and generally my closing) bid.

The lesson I have learned over time is that almost ANYTHING you seek will come up at auction again; the rarer stuff comes flowing out as the prices rise. There is some ecomomics platitude that addresses this, but I don't remember which Scotsman wrote it down.

Damn, ain't America great! Get enough money chasing something and it will appear.
My zwei pfennigs.
Tom A.

wterrell 03-31-2003 11:41 PM

Tom,
Just buying a thing is no challenge. Lay down the money and its bought. But if you can snatch it from under the noses of the greedy, that is fulfilling.
I always put my max bid well over the price others are willing to pay, but very seldom is that limit reached. This is done in the very last minute of an auction. Others do the very same thing and sometimes it comes down to strategy and photo finishes. While others are readjusting their max bid, the clock runs out.
Greedy bidders are frustrating, though.

Another thing....Always paying the maximum for anything one wants has reduced many a wealthy man to penury.

Lugerdoc 04-01-2003 09:16 AM

Wes, Not all of us are Night Hawks, that enjoy staying up until midnight to play the auction. If I can't buy an item at a reasonable price, I don't need it. Tom H.

Stu 04-01-2003 09:11 PM

I understand Wes's strategy and I think it's reasonable, (and one I emulate to a large degree). I have to agree with Tom I'm not prepared to stay up to midnight to follow it though !

Of course it's largely defeated by gunbroker that extends the auction end by 15 mins each time a bid is placed during the last 15 minutes, a boon to the seller, I think. (Or is it auctionarms, I can't remember).

wterrell 04-01-2003 09:52 PM

Gentlemen,
I have tried very diligently to portray myself as being quite greedy and no one has jumped on me for trying to snag items at the last minute from the 'greedy'. I commend you all for your manners and civility. But it puzzles me.

Stu 04-01-2003 10:08 PM

Wes, I think it quite sensible to pay the minimum price someone will accept for an item. I have to confess no notion of 'greed' passed through my mind.

Should you like to goad us a little further, I'm afraid you'll have to be a little more obvious to provoke a response from myself <img border="0" title="" alt="[Wink]" src="wink.gif" />

(Or does this just demonstrate I'm greedy myself, curses, self realization at last).

wterrell 04-01-2003 10:27 PM

Stu,
Here is a similar thread of mine which expressed the same sentiment. All posters to the thread were extremely polite and did not rail against me for being small of spirit.

</font><blockquote><font size="1" face="Verdana,Tahoma,Arial,Helvetica,Geneva">quote:</font><hr /><font size="2" face="Verdana,Tahoma,Arial,Helvetica,Geneva"> Man! It's getting difficult to snag something at the last second on Ebay! Watched this item all week and planned to snap it up at the last moment and all the self-centered, greedy people beat me out of it. It was quite a brawl in the last 60 seconds and I was totally left out of the running. Talk about pushy people! I have to figure a way to muscle all the horders out. </font><hr /></blockquote><font size="2" face="Verdana,Tahoma,Arial,Helvetica,Geneva">

The civility of Luger collectors is amazing!

AGE 04-02-2003 12:48 AM

Wes and others,

Maybe it's the nature of Luger collectors and other gun nuts to be civil. I used to play golf, usually on weekends since I worked during the week. Weekend golfers (especially Saturday morning golfers) must be the worlds nastiest people.

Then I took up pistol shooting. At the range everybody is very polite to the guy with the loaded .45.

Stu 04-02-2003 08:55 PM

Wes, I seem to remember seeing ads for automated bidding software that would wait until a predetermined moment to place a bid; that might help slip your 'oar' into the proceedings at the last moment !

I have to confess to gaining a degree of pleasure from watching an auction in the last few seconds, timing when to place my bid, (usually in the last 6 seconds). Ah well, little things please little minds, as my grandmother always told me when I was particularly obnoxious <img border="0" title="" alt="[Wink]" src="wink.gif" />

As to escalating prices; am I missing something to do with the value of this canon assembly, it seems to be bid pretty high:

http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll...category=31709

wterrell 04-02-2003 11:59 PM

Sniping software or services will win an item is no other person is determined to have it. It will refresh only so often and the rabid human bidder will snag it in the last few seconds.
I would rather not use sniping software.

Pete Ebbink 04-11-2003 11:41 AM

Hello Wes,

I follow the "auction advice" the folks behind the Gun Blue Book print in the forwarding pages of their gun pricing guide :

I determine what my "maximum" price on an item is and submit that price (hidden of course...). I do this both for "bricks & motar" auctions as well as for on-line auctions.

Submitting this maximum price early or late does not matter, to me...

Then I discipline myself to sit quietly and wait for the auction to be held. The discipline part comes in as the bidding approaches my maximum and I contain myself from going beyond that...

Many times I am not even aware of the bidding process or when it closes...

Sometimes I win; sometimes I loose. If it is not my "karma" to have a thing, it was not meant for me...

Regards,

Pete... <img border="0" alt="[typing]" title="" src="graemlins/yltype.gif" />

Stevie 04-13-2003 11:50 AM

My wife buys photoghraphy gear on E-bay, and tends to bid too much to soon. I believe the answer to Wes's question would revolve around the auction itself,people just go crazy with the "wants" and some primal urge to dominate and protect and own the merchandise. Typical auction behaviour. I hate getting "sniped",and I usually don't, Just bid and hope, but sometimes I will do a little sniping. Better to snipe and lose than never to have sniped at all!

Stevie.

Pete Ebbink 04-13-2003 12:26 PM

Well Wes and Stevie,

You guys must have been asleep <img border="0" title="" alt="[Wink]" src="wink.gif" /> during this auction :

http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll...ME:B:EOAB:US:6

I got a very good price on the Luthy luger muzzle cover and it was the same item listed for sale in the Ads section of the Luger Forum for much, much more...the auctioning did not even approach my "maximum' bid I had submitted...

Regards,

Pete... <img border="0" alt="[typing]" title="" src="graemlins/yltype.gif" />

Stevie 04-13-2003 01:41 PM

Hey,Pete! I sure would feel bad sniping you out of something that fits a gun I don't even own. As far as Parabellums go, I'm a P08 man.

Yikes! If the muzzle cover costs that much, I'd sure hate to buy a cleaning rod. I guess I shouldn't comment, I just spent more than that on some repro. pistol holsters. At least your getting the real deal(worth a lot).

Stevie.

wterrell 04-13-2003 01:43 PM

Pete,
No, I was not asleep. I saw this item and I also saw the cover listed on this forum. I figured some wise acre was trying to run up the price on the auction by advertising a similar item here and try to convince everyone that it is worth a fortune. Far too much coincidence. Old trick!
Happy that you got it.
Sometimes you just have to let the cattle graze.

lugerholsterrepair 04-13-2003 05:36 PM

Pete, There was one of these on Ebay about a year or so ago. Very little interest was shown in this rare item at the time. I had always wanted one so snagged that one for $75.00. These are the only two I have seen for sale in six years.I saw several of them at Ralph Shattucks a few years ago and he was not interested in selling any of the three or four he had. As rare as they are, one would think they would be a little more sought after. Jerry Burney

Edward Tinker 04-13-2003 06:43 PM

Jerry, I think the problem with rare items, is that the average man has no idea what it is, therefor, it isn't valuable to them.

Edward

wterrell 04-13-2003 06:47 PM

I think that the problem is they are post-WWII.


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